Stability vs. Democarcy 2

Mark Steyn, in today's Spectator column, writes that the "realist" view of the Middle East is not very realistic, and what is really needed is some "creative destruction" in our dealings with them.

For two-and-three-quarter years now, there’s been a continuing debate between, loosely, the ‘neoconservatives’ and the ‘realists’. The old realpolitik crowd dispute that the war on terror is a war at all, except in the debased sense of the ‘war on drugs’. That’s to say, terror, like drugs, will always be with us, and the best thing to do is manage and contain the situation through the usual long-established mechanisms — a quiet word with Crown Prince Abdullah here, a modest initiative with M. Chirac there. Insofar as I can remember anything Sir Crispin Tickell or Lord Hurd said in these pages a few issues back, that seems to be the gist of it.

The problem, as some of us saw it, is that the realists aren’t very realistic. Arguably, it’s 40 years of Washington realpolitik in the Middle East that gave us 9/11. I said as much here a couple of weeks afterwards, advocating the dismantling of Saudi Arabia, and I’ve said it on many occasions since. Used to get appreciative notes from chaps at the Pentagon, and even on occasion from the State Department.

But not any more. The current thinking is that the neocons have overplayed their hand, with their insane plans to make the world safe for truth, justice and the American way. The US is said to be suffering from ‘pre-emption fatigue’. No one’s in any mood to liberate Syria or destabilise Iran. According to the Washington Post, ‘Kerry Says Global Democracy Is Not His Top Issue’. If Bush wants to play Woodrow Wilson, Kerry’s happy to run as Henry Kissinger. Indeed, even Bush seems to be moving to a post-pre-emptive strategy. You get the feeling that if they got wind that North Korea was going to nuke Tokyo on Wednesday, the Administration would wait to see what ideas Jacques and Vlad wanted to kick around at the emergency Security Council meeting on Thursday....