Tuesday, July 20, 2004

So Much for the Bounce

The bounce in poll numbers for John Kerry that everyone was expecting after the selection of Edwards seems to have come and gone rather quickly. Most polls initially showed a 5-6% lead for Kerry. Now, a couple of weeks later, that lead seems to have disappeared. Rasmussen, which conducts daily polls, shows that the President is now leading Kerry by 2%. While this is within the margin of error, there is a clear upward trend for Bush over the last week, and a corresponding downward trend for Kerry. More interestingly, the Iowa Electronic Markets, which briefly showed Kerry leading Bush after the Edwards announcement, now show Bush pulling away. Going into the convention, and with all the positive news coverage, these numbers should be pretty disheartening for the Kerry campaign.

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