Sunday, April 18, 2004

Latest Poll

A number of new polls have come out that look favorable for President Bush. The Washington Times has a roundup of these polls. The most interesting result is that despite an "insurgency" in Iraq and the greatest number of troop deaths in any month since the war started, Bush's approval rating is unchanged at 53%, and a majority supports him on Iraq and the War on Terror. Of course, with more than 6 months to go to the election, these polls are sure to fluctuate. Still, it is a good sign for Bush that despite the negative news and the constant attacks from the Democrats, his poll numbers are not falling.

A better indicator than most polls has been the Iowa Electronic Markets. The IEM are basically a "futures" exchange for presidential and other elections. Since 1992 it has been more accurate than virtually all the polls in picking the winner of the election. It has been showing.

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